Walt Disney Co (DIS) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Walt Disney Co (DIS) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 11/13 06:40:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 22.78B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.03 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a Beat due to strong merchandise growth and effective streaming strategies.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Fact Data Analysis Impacting Core Metrics:
- Revenue Drivers:
Lilo & Stitch Merchandise: The 70% revenue growth in merchandise sales (linked to Zootopia 2 promotions and Disney Darlings dolls) directly supports the consumer products division, which is critical to total revenue.
Streaming Initiatives: Disney+ price hikes (15% increase for Premium tier) and the Taylor Swift docuseries premiere (likely driving subscriber growth) could offset losses from YouTube TV disputes.
Sports Betting Partnership: The DraftKings-ESPN deal (effective December 2023) may boost ad/partnership revenue, though financial terms are undisclosed.
- Cost Management Risks:
Legal Settlements: $10M FTC settlement and ongoing litigation (e.g., InterDigital patent injunction) could pressure margins.
Production Shifts: Moving Marvel production to the U.K. signals higher short-term costs.
- Market Share:
- Merchandise Dominance: Lilo & Stitch’s market position as a leading franchise and collaborations (e.g., Hasbro’s PLAY-DOH) strengthen consumer products.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Options: Buy short-term calls (Nov/Dec expiry) targeting a Beat-driven rally.
- Hedging: Pair with puts as legal/streaming risks remain.
- Stock: Accumulate on weakness; Disney’s IP resilience and merchandising tailwards justify upside.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
DIS Transcript
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance, strategic expansion, and positive shareholder return plans, with high revenue in the Experiences segment and promising product developments. The Q&A section reinforces this with positive analyst sentiment and strategic insights, despite some uncertainties in management responses. The overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased operating income across segments and successful strategic initiatives like the ESPN direct-to-consumer launch. The Q&A session reveals optimism for future cash flow and growth in various business areas, despite some uncertainties like the YouTube TV dispute. The integration of Hulu into Disney+ and partnerships like the NFL deal are positive indicators. However, the lack of detailed guidance on certain issues tempers the overall sentiment slightly. Given these factors, a positive stock price movement between 2% to 8% is expected.
The earnings call highlights several positive developments: 20% EPS growth, strong performance in the Experiences segment, and increased sports viewership. The Q&A section reveals optimistic management sentiment, especially regarding ESPN's NFL deal and the integration of Hulu into Disney+. Despite some deferred guidance, the overall outlook is positive, with strong domestic park performance and new cruise line expansions. These factors suggest a likely stock price increase, aligning with positive sentiment.
DIS Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Walt Disney Co FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Walt Disney Co (DIS) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onNov 13, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Walt Disney Co FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 22.78B in revenue and an EPS of 1.03 for Walt Disney Co's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Walt Disney Co FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forWalt Disney Co's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 13, 2025. Walt Disney Co The earnings forecast predicts a Beat due to strong merchandise growth and effective streaming strategies.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade DIS Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 13, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Walt Disney Co FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
